Constància vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
CAM
0 - 1
CON
33%
27%
39%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
CAM
3 - 1
CON
23%
27%
50%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -3 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
CON
0 - 0
POL
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
SOL
1 - 6
CON
16%
24%
60%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
CON
0 - 2
BNS
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
FER
1 - 1
UDA
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
UDA
1 - 2
FER
30%
26%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
FER
1 - 1
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
CAM
3 - 2
FER
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
FER
5 - 1
POL
78%
16%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |