FA Cup .
Global 1-2
Consett AFC vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Consett AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 1
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 5
CON
21%
21%
59%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CLI
0 - 1
CON
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 2
CON
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
BRA
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 1
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 5
TAM
36%
25%
38%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
FYL
4 - 1
CUR
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 2
CUR
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CUR
0 - 2
SAL
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |