Connecticut vs Portland Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connecticut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
VER
2 - 2
CAC
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
OFS
3 - 0
CAC
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAC
1 - 1
WES
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
REA
0 - 3
CAC
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
VER
2 - 4
CAC
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Portland Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
SEA
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
WES
4 - 1
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 0
POR
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
SEA
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
MPS
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |