Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CON
2 - 3
RHY
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
CAE
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
BAN
6 - 0
CON
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NEA
0 - 1
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CON
1 - 3
CAR
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TNS
0 - 0
HAV
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
POR
2 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
PRE
1 - 4
TNS
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
TNS
0 - 0
LLA
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TNS
2 - 3
CAR
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |