Connah's Quay vs Rhos Aelwyd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 3
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
CON
4 - 0
LLA
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
FLI
1 - 2
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
CAE
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
RHY
1 - 0
CON
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rhos Aelwyd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
AEL
0 - 2
CEF
18%
21%
60%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CON
4 - 4
AEL
79%
13%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AEL
2 - 2
LLA
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AEL
0 - 2
GUI
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 0
AEL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |