Connah's Quay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
CON
1 - 0
WEL
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
AIR
0 - 0
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
RHY
2 - 0
CON
72%
18%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
CON
2 - 1
PRE
42%
23%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CEF
2 - 5
ABE
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 2
TNS
22%
22%
56%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 0
NEW
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NEA
1 - 0
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 1
HAV
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |