Connah's Quay vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
CON
0 - 0
RHA
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
CON
2 - 1
CAE
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
LID
1 - 1
CON
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
CON
0 - 2
CAR
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
CAE
0 - 3
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 3
CAE
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 2
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
CAE
3 - 0
LID
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 2
CAE
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |