Conil vs At. Cortegana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
UBR
2 - 1
CON
35%
27%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CON
0 - 3
UDT
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
CON
28%
27%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
REC
32%
27%
41%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
LPF
51%
24%
25%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Cortegana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ATC
2 - 2
LPF
55%
22%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SRQ
1 - 1
ATC
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ATC
2 - 1
LOS
57%
23%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
ATC
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
ATC
1 - 4
PUM
45%
25%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |