African WC Qual. Group E Round 3

Congo vs Niger analysis

Congo Niger
61 ELO 58
-17.2% Tilt -11.8%
3156º General ELO ranking 3007º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.1%
Congo
25.3%
Draw
22.6%
Niger

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
Congo
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.6%
Win probability
Niger
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Congo
-17%
+18%
Niger

ELO progression

Congo
Niger
Morocco
Zambia
Tanzania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Congo
Congo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2024
GAB
Gabon
1 - 1
Congo
CGO
50%
26%
24%
63 68 5 0
17 Nov. 2023
ZAM
Zambia
4 - 2
Congo
CGO
69%
19%
12%
63 75 12 0
10 Sep. 2023
GAM
Gambia
2 - 2
Congo
CGO
47%
27%
26%
63 67 4 0
18 Jun. 2023
CGO
Congo
0 - 2
Mali
MLI
18%
26%
56%
64 79 15 -1
27 Mar. 2023
SSD
South Sudan
0 - 1
Congo
CGO
18%
21%
61%
64 48 16 0

Matches

Niger
Niger
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2024
NIG
Niger
1 - 1
Burkina Faso
BFA
22%
26%
52%
56 75 19 0
22 Mar. 2024
NIG
Niger
1 - 2
Togo
TOG
33%
27%
41%
57 66 9 -1
08 Jan. 2024
SEN
Senegal
1 - 0
Niger
NIG
79%
15%
6%
57 86 29 0
21 Nov. 2023
NIG
Niger
2 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
15%
21%
64%
56 75 19 +1
18 Nov. 2023
NIG
Niger
0 - 1
Tanzania
TAN
35%
26%
39%
57 62 5 -1