Congo vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
CGO
3 - 0
LBR
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SEN
2 - 0
CGO
65%
22%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
GAB
1 - 1
CGO
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
CGO
3 - 2
GAB
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
MLI
1 - 1
ZAM
48%
27%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
LBR
1 - 0
MLI
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
MLI
0 - 0
MAR
29%
30%
41%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
57%
24%
18%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 1
MLI
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |