Copa do Brasil . 1/64
Global 1-1
Confiança vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
EST
3 - 2
CON
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
AME
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
LAG
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SER
2 - 2
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
OES
2 - 2
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
COR
25%
30%
45%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAU
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |