Campeonato de Portugal Grupo C round 13

Condeixa vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis

Condeixa Benfica Castelo Branco
32 ELO 42
-8.1% Tilt 0.7%
24130º General ELO ranking 5482º
506º Country ELO ranking 118º
ELO win probability
18.2%
Condeixa
20.4%
Draw
61.4%
Benfica Castelo Branco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
Condeixa
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.4%
Win probability
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Condeixa
Benfica Castelo Branco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Condeixa
Condeixa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2019
RDA
RD Agueda
0 - 2
Condeixa
CON
76%
17%
7%
27 47 20 0
24 Nov. 2019
CON
Condeixa
0 - 1
Oleiros
OLE
18%
21%
60%
28 44 16 -1
17 Nov. 2019
CON
Condeixa
2 - 2
Caldas
CAL
19%
21%
60%
25 40 15 +3
10 Nov. 2019
PRA
Praiense
2 - 0
Condeixa
CON
85%
11%
4%
26 52 26 -1
03 Nov. 2019
CON
Condeixa
0 - 0
União de Leiria
UDL
8%
18%
74%
24 50 26 +2

Matches

Benfica Castelo Branco
Benfica Castelo Branco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2019
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
0 - 0
Marinhense
MAR
53%
24%
23%
44 41 3 0
23 Nov. 2019
BEN
Benfica Castelo Branco
1 - 0
Vitoria de Sernache
VIT
69%
18%
13%
43 34 9 +1
17 Nov. 2019
SER
Sertanense
1 - 0
Benfica Castelo Branco
BEN
32%
28%
40%
44 40 4 -1
03 Nov. 2019
PRA
Praiense
2 - 1
Benfica Castelo Branco
BEN
70%
19%
12%
44 52 8 0
26 Oct. 2019
UDL
União de Leiria
1 - 0
Benfica Castelo Branco
BEN
62%
22%
16%
45 49 4 -1