Tercera RFEF II - Asturias. Jor. 18

Condal vs UC Ceares analysis

Condal UC Ceares
19 ELO 24
-29.7% Tilt -11.2%
10814º General ELO ranking 8532º
600º Country ELO ranking 355º
ELO win probability
16.4%
Condal
21.3%
Draw
62.3%
UC Ceares

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
Condal
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.3%
Win probability
UC Ceares
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Condal
+39%
+77%
UC Ceares

Points and table prediction

Condal
Their league position
UC Ceares
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
16º
14º
34
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Covadonga
65
65
100%
Sporting Atlético
62
62
100%
L´Entregu CF
58
58
100%
UD Llanera
56
56
100%
CD Praviano
53
53
100%
Caudal Deportivo
48
48
100%
Lealtad Villaviciosa
43
43
100%
Llanes
40
40
100%
CD Colunga
37
37
100%
CD Tuilla
11º
36
36
10º
100%
Real Titánico
10º
36
36
11º
100%
UC Ceares
12º
34
34
12º
100%
Luarca CF
13º
31
31
13º
100%
Condal
14º
26
26
14º
100%
Avilés Stadium
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Valdesoto
16º
14
14
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Condal
UC Ceares
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Condal
UC Ceares
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Condal
Condal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
RTI
Real Titánico
1 - 1
Condal
CON
61%
21%
18%
18 22 4 0
15 Jan. 2023
CON
Condal
0 - 0
Llanes
LLA
15%
23%
63%
17 28 11 +1
08 Jan. 2023
CAU
Caudal Deportivo
1 - 1
Condal
CON
75%
16%
9%
17 32 15 0
17 Dec. 2022
CON
Condal
0 - 2
Lealtad Villaviciosa
LEA
11%
21%
68%
18 34 16 -1
11 Dec. 2022
PRA
CD Praviano
1 - 0
Condal
CON
51%
24%
25%
18 21 3 0

Matches

UC Ceares
UC Ceares
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
CEA
UC Ceares
3 - 2
Caudal Deportivo
CAU
28%
25%
47%
24 32 8 0
15 Jan. 2023
LEA
Lealtad Villaviciosa
0 - 3
UC Ceares
CEA
59%
23%
19%
22 34 12 +2
08 Jan. 2023
PRA
CD Praviano
1 - 0
UC Ceares
CEA
36%
25%
39%
23 22 1 -1
17 Dec. 2022
CEA
UC Ceares
0 - 3
CD Covadonga
COV
25%
23%
52%
24 31 7 -1
11 Dec. 2022
LEN
L´Entregu CF
1 - 2
UC Ceares
CEA
49%
24%
27%
23 29 6 +1
X