Condal vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
CON
1 - 0
SLA
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 2
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CON
4 - 0
TUR
64%
21%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SMA
1 - 0
CON
53%
25%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CON
1 - 0
LLA
39%
25%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
SPB
3 - 0
GER
48%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
PON
2 - 3
SPB
56%
24%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SPB
0 - 2
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 0
SPB
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
SPB
1 - 1
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |