Concórdia vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
INT
0 - 0
CAC
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAC
1 - 1
AVA
6%
13%
81%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CAC
1 - 1
BRU
24%
22%
54%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
TUB
3 - 2
CAC
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CAC
2 - 5
CRI
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 0
FFL
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
JEC
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
JEC
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 2
AVA
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |