Catarinense 1 Fase regular Round 5

Concórdia vs Chapecoense analysis

Concórdia Chapecoense
54 ELO 69
-21.2% Tilt -9.4%
3603º General ELO ranking 616º
104º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
15.1%
Concórdia
23.8%
Draw
61.1%
Chapecoense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
Concórdia
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
61.1%
Win probability
Chapecoense
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Concórdia
-8%
+13%
Chapecoense

ELO progression

Concórdia
Chapecoense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Concórdia
Concórdia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2023
CAC
Concórdia
2 - 0
KF Besa
BES
53%
24%
23%
53 46 7 0
26 Jan. 2023
CAM
Camboriú FC
1 - 1
Concórdia
CAC
51%
24%
25%
53 56 3 0
25 Jan. 2023
CAC
Concórdia
0 - 1
Progresul Spartac
PSB
42%
27%
32%
53 51 2 0
22 Jan. 2023
CAC
Concórdia
0 - 0
Barra FC
BAR
56%
25%
20%
54 46 8 -1
18 Jan. 2023
CAC
Concórdia
0 - 0
Figueirense
FFL
18%
25%
57%
53 66 13 +1

Matches

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2023
FFL
Figueirense
0 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
43%
26%
32%
69 65 4 0
22 Jan. 2023
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
45%
27%
28%
69 70 1 0
18 Jan. 2023
HER
Hercílio Luz
1 - 0
Chapecoense
CHA
18%
24%
59%
69 54 15 0
14 Jan. 2023
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 0
Avaí
AVA
36%
27%
37%
68 74 6 +1
07 Jan. 2023
CHA
Chapecoense
2 - 0
Ypiranga FC
YPI
48%
26%
26%
68 67 1 0