Concordia Basel vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
NEX
4 - 0
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
LUZ
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WAN
4 - 1
CON
22%
22%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -3 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
MUN
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SOL
4 - 0
CON
15%
19%
66%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
FCS
3 - 2
BLA
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
THU
0 - 0
FCS
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FCS
3 - 3
ZOF
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FCG
3 - 1
FCS
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCS
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |