Concesio vs Szeno Naviglio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concesio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ROD
1 - 1
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VOB
2 - 2
CON
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
CAL
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
4 - 6
CON
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Szeno Naviglio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SZE
2 - 2
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ADR
1 - 3
SZE
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SZE
3 - 0
BOR
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
REA
2 - 2
SZE
72%
16%
11%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SZE
0 - 2
NAV
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |