Concesio vs Dak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concesio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VER
4 - 1
CON
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
GUS
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
VAL
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 4
ADR
22%
22%
57%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 2
CON
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
DAK
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
DAK
0 - 1
VOB
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 3
DAK
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BED
0 - 0
DAK
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DAK
2 - 1
GOV
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |