Concesio vs Castel D Ario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concesio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VOB
2 - 2
CON
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
CAL
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
4 - 6
CON
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
BED
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GOV
3 - 1
CON
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Castel D Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ADR
1 - 1
CAS
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
BOR
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
REA
2 - 2
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
4 - 1
NAV
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |