Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
OHI
1 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
CON
0 - 0
NUB
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ACS
3 - 2
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
UCH
2 - 1
CON
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
AME
2 - 1
UCO
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
CDP
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
DLS
1 - 1
UCO
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
EVE
0 - 2
UCO
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |