Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CON
3 - 3
HUA
27%
26%
48%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
PUE
2 - 0
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CON
0 - 4
UCO
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SWA
5 - 1
CON
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CON
1 - 2
ACS
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 3
UCO
63%
21%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
COL
4 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
UCO
6 - 3
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CON
0 - 4
UCO
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
UCO
3 - 0
COQ
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |