Concepción vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CDP
2 - 2
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
ANT
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ULC
0 - 0
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
DCO
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LOT
1 - 3
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
USF
5 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
USF
2 - 1
COL
28%
24%
47%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
COQ
2 - 4
USF
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
USF
1 - 0
UNI
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
USF
0 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |