Concepción vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
DCO
1 - 0
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CON
3 - 3
LOT
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 2
CON
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CON
1 - 3
SWA
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
COQ
2 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
ULC
1 - 1
COQ
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 0
ULC
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ULC
4 - 0
DCO
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ANT
1 - 3
ULC
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ULC
2 - 3
CDP
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |