Concepción vs Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
LOT
3 - 2
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CON
3 - 3
OHI
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ANT
4 - 2
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
CON
0 - 1
EVE
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 2
CON
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 0
NTA
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
DCO
0 - 0
OVA
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
OVA
0 - 2
CDM
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
DLS
1 - 2
OVA
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
OVA
2 - 0
CDP
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |