Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
NUB
0 - 0
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
USF
2 - 2
CON
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CON
4 - 2
DLS
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
EVE
0 - 1
CON
65%
21%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 2
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 0
COL
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
IQU
1 - 2
HUA
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
HUA
1 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
HUA
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
HUA
4 - 1
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |