Concepción vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
LOT
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 1
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
HUA
5 - 4
CON
77%
16%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
DLS
2 - 0
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CUR
1 - 1
IBE
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
IBE
1 - 2
CUR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CUR
1 - 0
UCO
14%
21%
66%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
CUR
5 - 2
NUB
12%
19%
69%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 0
CUR
86%
10%
3%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |