Concepción FC vs Atlético Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
CON
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
6%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
CON
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CEN
4 - 2
CON
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -3 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CON
0 - 3
POL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 0
AGU
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
PRO
33%
24%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +2 |