Concarneau vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GDB
1 - 2
CON
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 2
CON
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
IRI
0 - 0
CON
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
TRE
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LIM
0 - 2
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 0
GUI
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
DYN
3 - 1
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 2
MPL
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 1
DYN
26%
24%
51%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MET
0 - 2
GUI
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |