Concarneau vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
67.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
AVR
3 - 1
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CON
0 - 1
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
POI
0 - 1
CON
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 0
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
NAN
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
GUI
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 0
ASS
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BOU
0 - 2
GUI
22%
25%
54%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
GUI
55%
26%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 2
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |