Concarneau vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 0
CON
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 1
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CON
5 - 0
LEH
45%
26%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FON
0 - 3
AVR
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FON
0 - 1
SAU
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LAV
3 - 1
FON
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FON
0 - 0
PON
47%
27%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FON
4 - 3
MAN
43%
28%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |