Concarneau vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
VCH
1 - 3
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
TRE
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FON
4 - 1
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
CON
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
LES
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 1
VIL
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LES
4 - 0
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 3
GDB
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
PON
1 - 2
CHE
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 3
PLA
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |