Concarneau II vs Guichen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concarneau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MON
0 - 4
CON
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GUI
3 - 0
CON
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
LOC
45%
22%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
VAN
0 - 0
CON
88%
9%
3%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Guichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ERG
0 - 0
GUI
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LOC
2 - 1
GUI
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 3
VAN
5%
10%
85%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
4 - 0
GUI
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 3
DIN
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |