Comunal Cabrero vs Municipal Mejillones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
14º
13º
16
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 37 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 25 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 15 |
14º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comunal Cabrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
CDC
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
ACC
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CDQ
4 - 1
CDC
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 10
CSD
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CIU
0 - 1
CDC
24%
21%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Mejillones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CIU
4 - 2
MEJ
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CDQ
5 - 1
MEJ
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
MEJ
0 - 4
DCO
7%
16%
78%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
MEJ
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MEJ
2 - 1
CON
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |