Como vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SON
0 - 1
COM
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 0
COM
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
COM
2 - 0
REZ
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SER
3 - 3
COM
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
LEG
37%
24%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 3
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIL
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
GSD
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |