Como vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ASS
0 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
COM
1 - 0
SSS
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
COM
2 - 2
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
UDI
1 - 0
COM
71%
17%
11%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAR
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ASS
3 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 2
VER
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
USA
4 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |