Como vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
COM
0 - 1
OLB
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARZ
1 - 1
COM
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
COM
1 - 2
PIS
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
COM
2 - 0
REN
40%
29%
31%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PER
0 - 0
COM
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ABN
1 - 0
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 1
GOZ
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PER
2 - 2
NOV
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
PON
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
JS2
2 - 2
NOV
42%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |