Como vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1962 |
COM
1 - 1
VER
53%
27%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
PRO
2 - 0
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
COM
0 - 3
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
ACP
0 - 1
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
COM
2 - 1
COS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1962 |
SSS
2 - 2
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
ASL
1 - 1
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
COS
2 - 1
ASL
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
REG
0 - 0
ASL
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |