Como vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
66.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
REG
0 - 1
COM
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 2
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
COM
3 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
TER
30%
30%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 0
TRI
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 3
LEC
8%
19%
73%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 0
SAN
88%
9%
2%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CUN
1 - 2
LEC
7%
18%
75%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 2
USC
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |