Como vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
28%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
16.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
COM
1 - 2
PAR
64%
24%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
GEN
1 - 0
COM
58%
27%
15%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
PIS
0 - 1
COM
48%
32%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
SAM
1 - 0
COM
57%
27%
15%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 1
TER
53%
28%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
VER
1 - 0
LEC
60%
26%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEC
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 0
BAR
57%
27%
16%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |