Como vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
32%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
CES
2 - 0
COM
57%
26%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
COM
2 - 1
VER
47%
30%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
COM
3 - 0
CAG
46%
31%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 2
COM
76%
16%
7%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
COM
0 - 1
TOR
23%
32%
45%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
FIO
4 - 3
LAZ
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
LAZ
1 - 1
TOR
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
CES
0 - 0
LAZ
48%
28%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
CAG
2 - 1
LAZ
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |