Como vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
COM
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TER
2 - 1
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
ACL
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
COM
40%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
PAV
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
AVE
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SPA
3 - 2
FOL
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAR
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 0
FOL
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 0
ASS
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |