Como vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
COS
1 - 4
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
SAL
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 1
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
REG
4 - 1
COM
57%
26%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
FIO
3 - 1
VNZ
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 1
DNI
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
DNI
0 - 0
FIO
24%
26%
49%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
FIO
3 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |