Como vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
MAN
0 - 1
COM
48%
30%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
COM
2 - 1
PRG
60%
25%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
REG
1 - 2
COM
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
ASC
2 - 0
COM
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
COM
2 - 1
USF
55%
28%
18%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASC
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAT
52%
29%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
CAT
0 - 0
REG
56%
28%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
CAT
0 - 0
BRI
63%
24%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 1
CAT
55%
28%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |