Como vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.8%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1973 |
FCC
0 - 0
COM
55%
28%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
COM
0 - 1
NOV
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
50%
30%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
COM
1 - 0
BRI
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
CES
1 - 0
COM
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
VAR
33%
33%
34%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
24%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
LEC
3 - 1
PRG
37%
32%
31%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
CAT
3 - 0
LEC
63%
26%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 1
NOV
36%
32%
32%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |