Como vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
COM
0 - 4
ASC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 2
COM
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
TRA
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 3
COM
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
LIV
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 2
MOD
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LIV
3 - 1
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 2
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |