Como vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
ACM
1 - 0
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
CAG
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
USA
2 - 1
COM
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
COM
1 - 1
PAV
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
TRE
0 - 0
COM
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAL
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VIC
3 - 0
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
28%
25%
48%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |