Como vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
ASL
1 - 0
COM
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
COM
3 - 1
USA
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ACL
2 - 3
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2001 |
PIS
1 - 1
COM
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 3
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
ALV
2 - 2
VAR
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |