Como vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 0
COM
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
COM
2 - 2
SPE
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 0
COM
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
COM
0 - 3
PIA
25%
27%
49%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 0
COM
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
ACS
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
USC
2 - 1
MAN
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
PIS
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 1
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
MAN
0 - 0
USC
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |