Comerciantes Unidos vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 2
COM
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
COM
3 - 2
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
LOS
2 - 1
COM
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
WIL
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 1
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
WIL
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 0
LOS
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
WIL
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |